20061023: Tropical cyclone probabilistic wind speed-Fwd: ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC]

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-------- Original Message --------

122 NOUS41 KWBC 231211
PNSWSH

TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE 06-71
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC
810 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2006

TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS... EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK /EMWIN/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAAPORT SUBSCRIBERS... OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS AND PARTNERS... AND NWS EMPLOYEES

FROM:      THERESE Z. PIERCE
          CHIEF...MARINE AND COASTAL SERVICES BRANCH

SUBJECT:   CHANGES TO TROPICAL CYCLONE PROBABILISTIC WIND SPEED
PRODUCTS: EFFECTIVE JANUARY 18 2007 EFFECTIVE JANUARY 18 2007 AT 0300 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME /UTC/...THE TEMPORAL RESOLUTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE PROBABILISTIC WIND SPEED FORECASTS WILL CHANGE FROM 12 HOURS TO 6 HOURS.

CURRENTLY NWS ROUTINELY DISSEMINATES TROPICAL CYCLONE PROBABILISTIC WIND SPEED FORECASTS WHEN TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE FORECAST FOR THE ATLANTIC...THE EASTERN PACIFIC...CENTRAL PACIFIC...AND WESTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE BASINS. THESE PRODUCTS ARE DISSEMINATED FOUR TIMES PER DAY WHEN TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED: 0300...0900...1500...AND 2100 UTC...AND IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE ISSUANCE OF SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORIES. THESE PRODUCTS CURRENTLY PROVIDE THE PROBABILITIES OF SUSTAINED WIND SPEED EXCEEDANCE FOR THREE THRESHOLDS: 34 KNOTS ...50 KNOTS...AND 64 KNOTS...AT 12 HOURLY FORECAST INTERVALS OUT TO 120 HOURS. THE PRODUCTS ARE ISSUED ON AWIPS GRID 231 IN GRIDDED BINARY /GRIB2/ FORMAT AT A 0.5 DEGREE KILOMETER RESOLUTION. THE WMO HEADERS AND ASSOCIATED FORECAST INTERVALS FOR THE EXISTING PRODUCTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

LDGA98 KNHC 0 HOUR
LDGC98 KNHC12 HOUR
LDGE98 KNHC24 HOUR
LDGG98 KNHC36 HOUR
LDGI98 KNHC48 HOUR
LDGJ98 KNHC60 HOUR
LDGK98 KNHC72 HOUR
LDGL98 KNHC84 HOUR
LDGM98 KNHC96 HOUR
LDGN98 KNHC       108 HOUR
LDGO98 KNHC            120 HOUR

ON JANUARY 18 2007 AT 0300 UTC...THE TEMPORAL RESOLUTION OF THESE FORECAST PRODUCTS WILL CHANGE FROM 12 HOURS TO 6 HOURS. THE WMO HEADERS AND THE ASSOCIATED FORECAST INTERVALS FOR THE NEW SIX HOURLY PRODUCTS ARE LISTED BELOW. USERS WISHING TO RECEIVE THE NEW SIX HOURLY FORECAST PRODUCTS MUST MAKE THE FOLLOWING CHANGES TO THEIR DATABASES.

WMO HEADERFORECAST INTERVAL ACTION LDGB98 KNHC 6 HOURS ADD LDGD98 KNHC 18 HOURSADD LDGF98 KHHC 30 HOURSADD LDGH98 KNHC 42 HOURSADD
MDGM98 KNHC        54 HOURSADD
MDGN98 KNHC 66 HOURSADD MDGT98 KNHC 78 HOURSADD
MDGU98 KNHC        90 HOURSADD
MDGV98 KNHC       102 HOURSADD
MDGW98 KNHC 116 HOURSADD
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS REGARDING THIS NOTICE...PLEASE CONTACT:

    TIMOTHY SCHOTT
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    MARINE AND COASTAL SERVICES BRANCH
    1325 EAST WEST HIGHWAY
    SILVER SPRING MARYLAND 20910
    EMAIL:  TIMOTHY.SCHOTT@xxxxxxxx

THIS AND ALL OTHER NWS TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICES ARE AVAILABLE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

    HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM

$$
NNNN


--
Linda Miller - lmiller@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Community Services, Unidata
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
P.O. Box 3000
Boulder, CO 80307-3000
303-497-8646 fax: 303-497-8690

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