951218: Flagstaff Nowcasts-ABUS34 (fwd)

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338 
ABUS34 KFLG 141654
PNSFLG

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
950 AM MST THU DEC 14 1995

DEAR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ PRODUCT USER...

NWSO FLAGSTAFF WILL BEGIN ISSUING SHORT TERM FORECASTS /NOW/ FOR
THE FLAGSTAFF VICINITY ON TUESDAY...JAN 16...1996.  

THE NOW...COMMONLY CALLED A NOWCAST...WILL BE A NON-ROUTINE
PRODUCT FOR COMMUNICATING CONCISE...NON-TECHNICAL PLAIN LANGUAGE
FORECASTS OF SIGNIFICANT SHORT-TERM /6 HOURS OR LESS/
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS TO THE PUBLIC AND OTHER USERS.

ISSUANCE AREA...

THE WSO FLAGSTAFF NOWCAST WILL BE ISSUED FOR FLAGSTAFF AND AREAS
WITHIN A 15 MILE RADIUS OF FLAGSTAFF...EXCLUDING THE SAN
FRANCISCO PEAKS. 

ISSUANCE CRITERIA...

     1. HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CRITERIA...NOWS SHALL BE ISSUED FOR
        SIGNIFICANT BUT NON-SEVERE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
        CONDITIONS WHICH ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN   
        THE FLAGSTAFF VICINITY WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS...SUCH    
        AS...

           A. SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE STORMS AND ASSOCIATED HEAVY
              RAIN...SNOW...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...STRONG WINDS...
              HAIL...AND LOCAL FLOODING.

           B. OTHER POTENTIAL HAZARDS INCLUDING...BUT NOT
              LIMITED TO...DENSE FOG...WIND...BLOWING AND
              DRIFTING SNOW ...OR ANY OTHER HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
              EVENT WHICH THE FORECASTER PERCEIVES AS ADVERSELY
              AFFECTING THE PUBLIC OR OTHER USERS.

     2. NOWS WILL BE ISSUED FOR A PERIOD UP TO 6 HOURS...AND
        ISSUED IN LIEU OF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS /SPS/ FOR
        SHORT-TERM EVENTS IN THE FLAGSTAFF VICINITY. SPSS FOR
        THE FLAGSTAFF VICINITY SHALL BE USED ONLY TO DESCRIBE
        LONGER-TERM EVENTS...INCLUDING DISCUSSIONS OF
        HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL REASONING...AND TO CLEAR COUNTIES
        FROM WATCHES.

ISSUANCE FREQUENCY/GUIDELINES...

     1. NOWS WILL BE ISSUED FREQUENTLY DURING RAPIDLY CHANGING
        CONDITIONS IN THE VICINITY OF FLAGSTAFF.

     2. NOWCASTS SHALL NOT INTERFERE WITH OR DELAY THE ISSUANCE
        OF WARNINGS OR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS. NOWS ARE
        SECONDARY IN PRIORITY TO EXISTING WARNING
        RESPONSIBILITIES.

     3. NOWS WILL BE ISSUED THROUGHOUT SEVERE WEATHER EVENTS BUT
        ONLY TO PROVIDE FOLLOW-UP...NON-URGENT INFORMATION.

     4. NOWS WILL BE ISSUED AT THE END OF AN EVENT...STATING
        THAT THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER HAS ENDED.

     5. NOWCASTS WILL NOT BE ISSUED FOR "BENIGN" WEATHER.

RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER PRODUCTS...

NOWS WILL INCLUDE APPROPRIATE SHORT-TERM FORECAST INFORMATION
FORMERLY CONTAINED IN OTHER MESSAGES...SUCH AS...

     1. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS /SPSS/...NOWS WILL REPLACE
        SOME SPSS THAT PROVIDED SHORT-TERM INFORMATION REGARDING
        SIGNIFICANT HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS AROUND
        FLAGSTAFF. SPSS WILL CONTINUE TO BE USED...

           A. TO UPDATE LONGER-TERM EVENTS SUCH AS FOLLOW-UPS TO
              WINTER OR NON-PRECIPITATION WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
              PRODUCTS /WSWS...NPWS/...AND FOLLOW-UP TO
              URBAN/SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES...
 
           B. IN SITUATIONS WHERE SOME EXPLANATION OR TECHNICAL
              REASONING IS NEEDED...INCLUDING CALL-TO-ACTION
              STATEMENTS...

           C. TO CLEAR COUNTIES FROM A CONVECTIVE WATCH.

     2. SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS /SVSS/...NOWCASTS ARE NOT
        INTENDED TO DESCRIBE EVENTS WHICH MEET SEVERE WEATHER
        CRITERIA BUT CAN BE USED TO PROVIDE FOLLOW-UP...NON-
        URGENT INFORMATION  FOR THE FLAGSTAFF VICINITY. SVSS
        WILL...

           A. BE USED TO CONSOLIDATE OR SUMMARIZE INFORMATION
              FROM A WARNING OR NUMBER OF WARNINGS IN PROGRESS

           B. PROVIDE A VERY BRIEF REPORT...NO MORE THAN TWO OR
              THREE LINES OF TEXT...OF IMMINENT DANGER OR...

           C. EXTEND A WATCH FOR AN HOUR OR SO.

     3. FLASH FLOOD/FLOOD STATEMENTS /FFSS/FLSS/...NOWS ARE NOT
        INTENDED TO DESCRIBE EVENTS WHICH MEET FLOOD CRITERIA.
        HENCE THEY WILL NOT BE USED TO REPLACE FFSS OR FLSS
        /WHEN ASSOCIATED WITH FLASH FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS/. 
        

PRODUCT CONTENT...

SHORT TERM FORECASTS WILL BE CONCISE AND WILL IN MOST CASES BE
LIMITED TO 8 LINES OF TEXT OR LESS...ABOUT 30 TO 60 SECONDS OF
READING TIME OR LESS.

PRODUCT UPDATES...

NOWCASTS...BEING VERY TIMELY AND CONTENT PERISHABLE...WILL NOT BE
UPDATED OR AMENDED. IF A NOWCAST IS NO LONGER ACCURATE...A NEW
ONE WILL BE ISSUED.

DISSEMINATION...

FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE
/NWWS/...NOAA WEATHER RADIO /NWR/...AND THE ARIZONA STATE
CRIMINAL JUSTICE INFORMATION SYSTEM.  IDENTIFIER...PHXNOWFLG.

FEEDBACK...

WE WELCOME CUSTOMER INPUT TO THIS NEW PRODUCT.  THE NOWCAST
FORMAT ...CONTENT...AND ISSUANCE POLICY WILL EVOLVE AS OUR STAFF
STRIVES TO MEET OUR CUSTOMERS NEEDS.  WE INVITE ALL USER GROUPS
TO BECOME INVOLVED IN THIS PROCESS.

PRODUCT FORMAT...

     THE NOW TEXT SHALL BE PRECEDED BY THE UNIVERSAL GENERIC CODE
     /UGC/...AZZ012. PLAIN LANGUAGE IDENTIFICATION OF THE NOW
     AREA WILL FOLLOW THE UGC LINE. A REPEAT OF THE DATE/TIME
     LINE /FOUND IN THE THREE-LINE MASS NEWS DISSEMINATION
     HEADER/ WILL FOLLOW THE PLAIN LANGUAGE IDENTIFICATION OF THE
     NOW AREA. /SEE EXAMPLE/ THE UGC FOLLOWS STANDARD PRACTICES. 
     

     ON THE LINE IMMEDIATELY BEFORE THE TEXT...A SHORT-TERM
     FORECAST IDENTIFIER...  .NOW...  SHALL BE USED. /SEE
     EXAMPLE/

     A HEADLINE MAY BE USED...WITH THE HEADLINE TEXT BEGINNING ON
     THE LINE AFTER THE .NOW... THE OPTION EXISTS TO INCLUDE
     ADDITIONAL OR LONGER-TERM HEADLINES BEFORE THE .NOW...
     HEADLINES SHALL ALWAYS BE PRECEDED AND FOLLOWED BY THREE
     DOTS /.../. /SEE EXAMPLE/

     THE MOST IMPORTANT NOW INFORMATION WILL BE INCLUDED WITHIN
     EIGHT LINES...FOLLOWED BY A DOUBLE DOLLAR /$$/...WHICH ENDS
     THE NOW. IF THE TEXT EXCEEDS EIGHT LINES...A DOUBLE
     AMPERSAND /&&/ WILL BE ADDED AFTER THE EIGHTH LINE AND A $$
     AFTER THE END OF THE COMPLETED TEXT FOR THE NOW. /SEE
     EXAMPLE/


PRODUCT EXAMPLES...

THE FOLLOWING NOW DOES NOT EXCEED EIGHT LINES AND DOES NOT
INCLUDE A HEADLINE.

     SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR THE FLAGSTAFF VICINITY
     NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
     415 PM MST MON MAR 11 1995

     AZZ012-120100- 
     FLAGSTAFF VICINITY --
     
     .NOW...
     SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
     EARLY THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY
     RAIN...GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL MOVE THROUGH
     SOUTH FLAGSTAFF BY 6 PM. PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLAGSTAFF COULD
     RECEIVE UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN WITH LOCAL STREET FLOODING.
     /TEXT DOES NOT EXCEED EIGHT LINES/
     $$

THE FOLLOWING NOWCAST EXCEEDS EIGHT LINES AND DOES NOT INCLUDE A
HEADLINE.

     SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR THE FLAGSTAFF VICINITY
     NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
     415 PM MST MON MAR 11 1995

     AZZ012-120100- 
     FLAGSTAFF VICINITY --
     
     .NOW...
     SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
     EARLY THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY
     RAIN...GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR 40 MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
     WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTH FLAGSTAFF BY 6 PM. AREAS SOUTH OF I-
     40 COULD RECEIVE UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN. THE ADDITIONAL
     RAINFALL WILL AGGRAVATE THE LOCAL FLOODING ALREADY OCCURRING
     IN THE CONTINENTAL AREA AND WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL STREET
     FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER IN LOW-LYING AREAS.
     &&

     IF YOU ARE DRIVING IN SOUTH FLAGSTAFF THIS EVENING...PLEASE
     DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED STREETS. /TEXT EXCEEDS EIGHT
     LINES/
     $$

PRODUCT EXAMPLES /CONTINUED/...

THE FOLLOWING NOW DOES NOT EXCEED EIGHT LINES AND INCLUDES A
HEADLINE AFTER THE .NOW....

     SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR THE FLAGSTAFF VICINITY
     NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
     415 PM MST MON MAR 11 1995

     AZZ012-120100- 
     FLAGSTAFF VICINITY --
     
     .NOW...
     ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH FLAGSTAFF...
     SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS
     EVENING. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY
     WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTH
     FLAGSTAFF BY 6 PM. PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLAGSTAFF COULD RECEIVE
     UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN WITH LOCAL STREET FLOODING.
     /TEXT DOES NOT EXCEED EIGHT LINES...INCLUDING THE HEADLINE/
     $$


THE FOLLOWING NOW DOES NOT EXCEED EIGHT LINES AND INCLUDES A
HEADLINE BEFORE THE .NOW....

     SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR THE FLAGSTAFF VICINITY
     NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
     415 PM MST MON MAR 11 1995

     AZZ012-120100- 
     FLAGSTAFF VICINITY --
     
     ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH FLAGSTAFF...
     .NOW...
     SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS
     EVENING. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY
     WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTH
     FLAGSTAFF BY 6 PM. PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLAGSTAFF COULD RECEIVE
     UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN WITH LOCAL STREET FLOODING.
     /TEXT DOES NOT EXCEED EIGHT LINES...INCLUDING THE HEADLINE/
     $$

IF YOU HAVE NEED FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT...

CHRIS CUOCO...WARNING COORDINATION METEOROLOGIST...
NWSO FLAGSTAFF AT 556-9161...EXT 223

MIKE CAMPBELL...METEOROLOGIST IN CHARGE
NWSO FLAGSTAFF AT 556-9161...EXT 222






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