[nws-changes] 20130818: chg to Great Lakes Wave Model Physics-d: ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC

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-------- Original Message --------

382
NOUS41 KWBC 161818
PNSWSH

Technical Implementation Notice 13-25
National Weather Service Headquarters Washington DC
218 PM EDT Fri Aug 16 2013

To:       Subscribers:
          -Family of Services
          -NOAA Weather Wire Service
          -Emergency Managers Weather Information Network
          -NOAAPORT
          -Other NWS Partners, Users and Employees
From: Tim McClung
          Science Plans Branch Chief
          Office of Science and Technology
Subject: Change to Great Lakes Wave Model Physics:
          Effective October 1, 2013

On or about October 1, 2013, beginning with the 1200 Coordinated
Universal Time (UTC) cycle, the National Centers for
Environmental Prediction (NCEP) will introduce a physics upgrade
to the Great Lakes Wave Model, which will affect both the early
and late model runs GLW and GLWN.

The key changes for the Great Lakes system are as follows a new
physics package for wave growth under wind seas and for wave
dissipation due to wave breaking.
The new physics packages are outlined in Ardhuin et al. 2010. A
validation study made using NCEP's Great Lakes wave models is
presented in Alves et al., 2013 (see full reference below). The
latter work shows that the new physics significantly improves
model skill for wave height, especially in regions of strong
storm wind forcing. This will be reflected by crucial
improvements in forecast performance for extreme wave prediction,
a systematic problem in previous GLW/GLWN systems. Correction
will boost usage of the system by Great Lakes WFOs.All output
products will remain unchanged.

With this implementation, the location of the output data on the
ftp servers will be changed. Data are currently available in a
general directory named "wave."  With this implementation, the
GLW and GLWN will be put in a directory named "glw."  The full
directory paths are listed below.

The output data from these models will be disseminated on the
NCEP server at

http://www.ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nccf/com/wave/prod/glw.YYYYMMDD

and

ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/wave/prod/glw.YYYYMMDD

and on NOMADS at

http://nomads.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/wave/prod/glw.YYYYM
MDD

where YYYYMMDD is the 4-digit year, month and day.  Note that
prior to the implementation the data are available in
../com/wave/prod/wave...
Sample output files from the new physics are available at

ftp://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/waves/develop/

Details about the NCEP Multi-grid Wave Model are online at:

http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/waves/index2.shtml

A consistent parallel feed of data will be available on the NCEP
server once the model is running in parallel on the NCEP Central
Computing System in early September. The parallel data will be
available via the following URLs:

http://www.ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nccf/com/wave/para/glw.YYYYMMDD

ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/wave/para/glw.YYYYMMDD

NCEP urges all users to ensure their decoders can handle changes
in content order, changes in the scaling factor component within
the product definition section (PDS) of the GRIB files, changes
to the GRIB Bit Map Section (BMS), and volume changes. These
elements may change with future NCEP model implementations. NCEP
will make every attempt to alert users to these changes before
implementation.

For questions regarding these model changes, please contact:

Hendrik Tolman
NCEP/Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch
Camp Springs, Maryland
301-763-8000 ext 7253
hendrik.tolman@xxxxxxxx

For questions regarding the dataflow aspects of these data sets,
please contact:

Rebecca Cosgrove
NCEP/NCO Dataflow Team
Camp Springs, Maryland 20746
301-763-8000 x 7198
ncep.list.pmb-dataflow@xxxxxxxx

References:

Alves et al., 2013: The Operational Implementation of a Great
Lakes Wave Forecasting System at NOAA/NCEP. Weather and
Forecasting, early online release:
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00049.1.

Ardhuin, F. et. al., 2010: Semi-empirical dissipation source
functions for ocean waves: Part 1, definition, calibration and
validation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 40, 1917-1941.

NWS technical implementation notices are online at:

     http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/notif.htm

$$





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