[nws-changes] 20130721: HYBRID single-particle angragia-Fwd: ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC

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-------- Original Message --------

794
NOUS41 KWBC 191106
PNSWSH
Technical Implementation Notice 13-16, Amended
National Weather Service Headquarters Washington DC
705 AM EDT Fri Jul 19 2013
To: Subscribers:
          -Family of Services
          -NOAA Weather Wire Service
          -Emergency Managers Weather Information Network
          -NOAAPORT
          Other NWS Partners, Users and Employees
From: Timothy McClung
          Science Plans Branch Chief
          Office of Science and Technology
Subject: Amended to postpone Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian
          Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) update date to
          Tuesday, July 30, 2013 due to the delay in the
          transition of the NCEP production suite to the WCOSS
          supercomputer.
Amended to set the final effective date to July 30, 2013

Effective on or about Tuesday, July 30, 2013, beginning with the
1200 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) run, the National Centers
for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) will upgrade the HYSPLIT
modeling system including smoke, dust and volcanic ash.

The NOAA Air Resources Laboratory HYSPLIT subversion number 339
will be implemented as NCEP version 7.0.0 on NCEPs new Weather
and Climate Operational Supercomputing System (WCOSS), scheduled
to become the operational machine on July 30, 2013.  A separate
TIN will be issued announcing the operational switch to the
WCOSS system. In the event that switch date is changed, this TIN
will be modified to reflect that change in implementation date.

Forecasts from the updated HYSPLIT model were made available
through a parallel feed from WCOSS starting around June 19,
2013. The smoke and dust HYSPLIT GRIB products from the parallel
feed are disseminated via the NCEP website:

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/aq/hysplit/grib/

and the products will be displayed through NCEPs website:

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/aq/hysplit/web/html/#picture
Current operational HYSPLIT model will continue providing
forecasts through NCEP Central Computing System (CCS) until the
WCOSS machine goes live on July 30, 2013.  At that time updated
WCOSS smoke and dust predictions will be distributed through

ftp://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/SL.us008001/ST.opnl/DF.gr2/DC.ndgd/GT.a
q/AR.conus/

ftp://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/SL.us008001/ST.opnl/DF.gr2/DC.ndgd/GT.a
q/AR.alaska/

ftp://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/SL.us008001/ST.opnl/DF.gr2/DC.ndgd/GT.a
q/AR.hawaii/

and displayed at

http://airquality.weather.gov/


The scientific enhancements include the following:
-- Improved wet removal by reducing in-cloud particle wet
removal coefficient, allowing wet removal to occur only when
both precipitation and clouds are defined in the same grid cell,
and turned off precipitation field spatial interpolation
-- revised horizontal puff dispersion rate to be more consistent
with particle dispersion
-- set Kanthar-Clayson vertical mixing parameterization as
default
-- maximum plume rise limits relaxed
-- fires pre-processer modified for daily emission cycling

The model has been tested with these updates for all HYSPLIT
applications at NCEP. Overall the results showed generally
similar results, except for simulations of the wet deposition
from the Fukushima nuclear power plant incident of 2011, in
which significant improvements occurred.

There are no changes to existing products or their contents.

More details about the HYSPLIT are available at:
http://www.ready.noaa.gov/HYSPLIT.php For questions regarding these updated predictions, please
contact:
Ivanka Stajner
NOAA/NWS/OST
Silver Spring, MD 20910
ivanka.stajner@xxxxxxxx
301 713 9001 x 185
NWS National Technical Implementation Notices are online at: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notif.htm $$





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