20020918: El Nino -ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC (fwd)

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343
NOUS41 KWBC 182131
PNSWSH

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE 02-51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC
530 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2002

TO:       NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES...NOAAPORT
         SUBSCRIBERS...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA
         WEATHER WIRE SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS /NWWS/....EMERGENCY
         MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK /EMWIN/ USERS...AND
         OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS

FROM:     ROBERT E. LIVEZEY
         CHIEF...CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

SUBJECT:  ISSUANCE OF EL NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION /ENSO/
         DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION ON NOAAPORT...FOS...NWWS...AND
         EMWIN...EFFECTIVE OCTOBER 10 2002

EFFECTIVE OCTOBER 10 2002...THE NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/
WILL ISSUE AN EL NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION /ENSO/ DIAGNOSTIC
DISCUSSION ON THE FIRST OR SECOND THURSDAY OF EACH MONTH ON
NOAAPORT...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE
/NWWS/... AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK
/EMWIN/.  CPC WILL ISSUE THE ENSO DISCUSSION AROUND 10:00 A.M.
EASTERN LOCAL TIME.  THE ISSUANCE TIME MAY BE A FEW HOURS LATER IF
IT IS PART OF A CLIMATE OUTLOOK PRESS CONFERENCE.  CPC WILL ISSUE
THE FOLLOWING ENSO DISCUSSION ON NOVEMBER 7.

CPC WILL ISSUE ENSO OUTLOOK DISCUSSIONS ONE OR TWO WEEKS BEFORE
THEIR ONE-MONTH AND THREE-MONTH OUTLOOKS SINCE CLIMATE OUTLOOK
TECHNIQUES OFTEN RELY SIGNIFICANTLY UPON ENSO.  CPC WILL ISSUE THE
DISCUSSION USING THE FOLLOWING IDENTIFIERS:

       WMO HEADING - FXUS24 KWNC      AWIPS ID - PMDENS

THE DISCUSSION HAS ALREADY BEEN AVAILABLE FOR SOME TIME ON THE CPC
WEB SITE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

                  HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

THE ENSO DISCUSSION ADDRESSES THE CURRENT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS IN THE PACIFIC AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE SEASONAL CLIMATE
OUTLOOK FOR THE FOLLOWING ONE TO THREE SEASONS.  THEY INCLUDE
ANALYSIS OF CURRENT AND RECENT PATTERNS IN SURFACE AND SUBSURFACE
WATER TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES IN THE TROPICAL PACIFIC...OTHER RELATED
ANALYSES SUCH AS RAINFALL...OUTGOING LONG WAVE RADIATION...ETC.
...INFLUENCING FACTORS SUCH AS MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATIONS...KELVIN
WAVES...ETC. ...AND STATISTICAL AND COUPLED MODEL PREDICTIONS.
FIGURES MENTIONED IN THE DISCUSSION ARE AVAILABLE ON THE CPC WEB
SITE.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION...CONTACT

    VERNON KOUSKY
    CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER - W/NP52
    5200 AUTH RD.
    CAMP SPRINGS MD 20746-4304
    PHONE: 301-763-8000 EXT 7539
    E-MAIL: VERNON.KOUSKY@xxxxxxxx

THIS NOTICE AND OTHER SERVICE CHANGE NOTICES CAN BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

    HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM

$$
END
NNNN


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